{"id":8538,"date":"2025-04-23T08:25:51","date_gmt":"2025-04-23T12:25:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lee-associates.com\/easternpa\/?p=8538"},"modified":"2025-04-23T10:47:04","modified_gmt":"2025-04-23T14:47:04","slug":"q1-25-industrial-market-report","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lee-associates.com\/easternpa\/2025\/04\/23\/q1-25-industrial-market-report\/","title":{"rendered":"Q1 2025 Report Highlights Market Rebalancing as Developers Pull Back, Tenant Demand Evolves, and Long-Term Fundamentals Hold Firm"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"pl-8538\"  class=\"panel-layout\" ><div id=\"pg-8538-0\"  class=\"panel-grid panel-no-style\" ><div id=\"pgc-8538-0-0\"  class=\"panel-grid-cell\" ><div id=\"panel-8538-0-0-0\" class=\"so-panel widget widget_sow-editor panel-first-child panel-last-child\" data-index=\"0\" ><div\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\tclass=\"so-widget-sow-editor so-widget-sow-editor-base\"\n\t\t\t\n\t\t>\n<div class=\"siteorigin-widget-tinymce textwidget\">\n\t<p><strong><em>Mechanicsburg, PA \u2014 April 2025<\/em><\/strong> \u2014 Lee &amp; Associates of Eastern Pennsylvania has released its Q1 2025 Industrial Intel report, offering a data-driven snapshot of an industrial market in transition. Following an extended period of rapid expansion, the region has clearly entered the hyper-supply phase of the real estate cycle.<\/p>\n<p>Total square footage under construction dropped below 16 million square feet this quarter\u2014down 46% from the same time last year, and a steep fall from the 56 MSF peak seen during the post-COVID warehouse boom. Today\u2019s construction volume mirrors what the market saw in 2016 and 2017, before the pandemic-driven surge reshaped logistics demand.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe\u2019re in a hyper-supply period, and that\u2019s creating some discomfort in the short term,\u201d said Heather Kreiger, CCIM, Regional Research Director and Principal at Lee &amp; Associates. \u201cBut this is the expected outcome after years of aggressive expansion. The more important question isn\u2019t whether the market is correcting\u2014it\u2019s how prepared developers and users are for the next phase of stabilization.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Much of what\u2019s still under construction today represents the final wave of projects from the post-COVID warehouse boom\u2014developments that were planned during the height of e-commerce demand and are just now reaching delivery. The significant drop-off in construction starts in recent quarters is a strategic shift by developers\u2014one that will lead to minimal completions in late 2025 and early 2026 which should give the market some time to recalibrate. In the near term, Metro Philadelphia and Southern New Jersey are expected to see the greatest influx of new product, which will continue to apply pressure to already-elevated vacancy levels.<\/p>\n<p>At the same time, leasing activity has slowed across most submarkets as users navigate economic uncertainty, fluctuating transportation costs, and ongoing tariff policy shifts. Vacancy reached 9.44% this quarter, and further increases are expected in the coming months as additional supply hits the market. While this marks a clear shift from the frenzied pace of the past few years, it reflects broader economic conditions seen on a national scale more than a collapse in tenant demand.<\/p>\n<p>Lehigh Valley, by contrast, shows signs of earlier stabilization. Construction in that submarket has remained consistent\u2014well below five-year averages for the past eight quarters\u2014and Q1 saw multiple leases over 100,000 SF. With limited upcoming deliveries and continued tenant interest, Lehigh Valley could return to equilibrium sooner than other regional markets.<\/p>\n<p>Eastern Pennsylvania\u2019s long-term outlook remains supported by a robust development pipeline totaling 221.8 MSF, nearly half of which is either approved or pad-ready. Developers are positioning themselves for what comes next\u2014shifting to build-to-suit options, slowing speculative activity, and keeping entitlements moving so they\u2019re ready to act when demand strengthens.<\/p>\n<p>Top pre-construction pipeline leaders include:<br \/>\n- Northeast PA: 72.2 MSF<br \/>\n- Central PA: 41.6 MSF<br \/>\n- Lehigh Valley: 37.4 MSF<\/p>\n<p>E-commerce continues to be a structural driver of demand, even as its pandemic-era surge has moderated. After spiking from 12% to 16.4% of U.S. retail sales early in the pandemic, e-commerce now sits back at that 16.4% level\u2014but is forecasted to grow at a compound annual rate of 10.35% over the next five years. This steady growth will support long-term demand for logistics and distribution space.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cEastern PA isn\u2019t immune to oversupply, but the region remains a cornerstone of the Mid-Atlantic logistics network,\u201d Kreiger added. \u201cIts connectivity to ports and population centers, and its access to labor and infrastructure, continue to make it a strategic location\u2014both now and for the next cycle.\u201d<\/p>\n<h4>About Lee &amp; Associates of Eastern Pennsylvania LLC<\/h4>\n<p>Lee &amp; Associates is a full-service commercial real estate firm with offices in Mechanicsburg and Plymouth Meeting, PA. The firm\u2019s Research division provides deep market intelligence and custom analytics across key industrial submarkets in the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic.<\/p>\n<h4>Media Contact:<\/h4>\n<p>Heather Kreiger, CCIM<br \/>\nRegional Research Director | Principal<br \/>\nhkreiger@lee-associates.com | (610) 590-1007<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mechanicsburg, PA \u2014 April 2025 \u2014 Lee &amp; Associates of Eastern Pennsylvania has released its Q1 2025 Industrial Intel report, offering a data-driven snapshot of an industrial market in transition. Following an extended period of rapid expansion, the region has clearly entered the hyper-supply phase of the real estate cycle. Total square footage under construction dropped below 16 million square feet this quarter\u2014down 46% from the same time last year, and a steep fall from&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":229,"featured_media":8547,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1212],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8538","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-research"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.7 (Yoast SEO v28.7) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Q1 2025 Report Highlights Market Rebalancing as Developers Pull Back, Tenant Demand Evolves, and Long-Term Fundamentals Hold Firm - Eastern Pennsylvania<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Q1 2025 Industrial Intel report, offering a data-driven snapshot of an industrial market in transition. 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