{"id":1843,"date":"2018-01-16T13:47:23","date_gmt":"2018-01-16T21:47:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lee-associates.com\/orange\/?p=1843"},"modified":"2018-01-16T13:47:23","modified_gmt":"2018-01-16T21:47:23","slug":"tenants-stressed-resistance-rises-against-bull-market-price-growth","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lee-associates.com\/orange\/tenants-stressed-resistance-rises-against-bull-market-price-growth\/","title":{"rendered":"Tenants Stressed; Resistance Rises Against Bull-Market Price Growth"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Countywide average lease rates \u2013 already in record territory \u2013 soared 10.5% in 2017<\/strong>, punctuating a strong seven-year recovery that has driven up rents 48% while pushing vacancy rates to historic lows and sale prices to new highs.<\/p>\n<p>The overall <strong>vacancy rate held steady in the second half of 2017 at 2.7%<\/strong>, according to Lee &amp; Associates\u2019 year-ending quarterly survey of the county\u2019s 8,315 buildings totaling 278.4 million sq. ft.<\/p>\n<p>Buildings for sale continue to attract multiple offers from users and investors, although complexities of deals are increasing. Bidders are more price-sensitive and many see a late-stage economy where values are peaking. More risk from <strong>expected interest rate hikes is being factored into investor models<\/strong> as well as exit pricing. The increased scrutiny is combining to slow price acceleration and lengthen transactions with an exception to buyers highly motivated to complete 1031 exchanges.<\/p>\n<p>While tenants have been facing steep rent hikes at renewal time, a lack of inventory also is throttling growth ambitions. Total space leased in 2017 was down 24% from 2016 and off 31% from the annual average since 2010. Additionally, <strong>since 2010 the county\u2019s inventory has been cut by 3 million sq. ft.<\/strong> as 36 buildings have been razed to make way typically for multifamily development.<\/p>\n<p>In<strong> North County<\/strong> \u2013 the largest of the county\u2019s four submarkets at 118 million sq. ft. and 2% vacancy \u2013 average net asking rents jumped 21.4% in 2017 and are up 77% since 2010.<\/p>\n<p>Even though the <strong>West County submarket<\/strong> posted 451,814 sq. ft. of negative net absorption in 2017, asking net lease rates rose 18.3% year over year and are up 44.8% since the recovery began. The vacancy rate for West County\u2019s 44.7-million- sq.-ft. inventory closed the year at 2.7%.<\/p>\n<p>With the highest lease rates in Orange County \u2013 averaging $1.14 per sq. ft. \u2013 asking rents in <strong>South County<\/strong> have increased 44% since the recession but gained only 2.7% in 2017. Net absorption was up a modest 47,235 sq. ft. for the year in the 41.9-million-sq.-ft. submarket.<\/p>\n<p>After rents in the 73.6-million-sq.-ft. <strong>Airport submarket<\/strong> posted a 12.5% gain in 2016 and a 41% increase during the recovery, net lease rates last year fell 2%. The vacancy rate closed the year at 3.7%. Negative net absorption for the year totaled 1.3 million sq. ft., the most since 2009.<\/p>\n<p>Full Report Available <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lee-associates.com\/orange\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2018\/01\/4Q-2017-Orange-County-Industrial-Market-Report.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">4Q 2017 Orange County Industrial Market Report<\/a><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><em>The Orange County Industrial Market Report is published quarterly by the Lee &amp;\u00a0Associates\u2019 Irvine, Newport Beach and Orange offices.\u00a0<\/em><em>\u00a92017 Lee &amp; Associates, Inc.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Countywide average lease rates \u2013 already in record territory \u2013 soared 10.5% in 2017, punctuating a strong seven-year recovery that&#8230;<span class=\"readmore\"><a class=\"moretag\" href=\"https:\/\/www.lee-associates.com\/orange\/tenants-stressed-resistance-rises-against-bull-market-price-growth\/\">+<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":28,"featured_media":1841,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,16,4],"tags":[79,32,17,19,18,54,20,40,27,26,43],"class_list":["post-1843","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blog","category-lee-orange-exclusive","category-market-reports","tag-4th-quarter","tag-blog","tag-commercial-real-estate","tag-cre","tag-industrial","tag-lee-associates-orange","tag-leeassocorange","tag-market-report","tag-orange-county","tag-quarterly-report","tag-southern-california"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.7 (Yoast SEO v28.7) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Resistance Rises Against Bull-Market Price Growth<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Countywide average lease rates \u2013 already in record territory \u2013 soared 10.5% in 2017, punctuating a strong seven-year recovery that has driven up rents 48% while pushing vacancy rates to historic lows and sale prices to new highs.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.lee-associates.com\/orange\/tenants-stressed-resistance-rises-against-bull-market-price-growth\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Tenants Stressed; Resistance Rises Against Bull-Market Price Growth\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Countywide average lease rates \u2013 already in record territory \u2013 soared 10.5% in 2017, punctuating a strong seven-year recovery that has driven up rents 48% while pushing vacancy rates to historic lows and sale prices to new highs. The overall vacancy rate held steady in the second half of 2017 at 2.7%, according to Lee &amp; Associates\u2019 year-ending quarterly survey of the county\u2019s 8,315 buildings totaling 278.4 million sq. ft.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.lee-associates.com\/orange\/tenants-stressed-resistance-rises-against-bull-market-price-growth\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Lee &amp; Associates Orange\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/LeeAssociates\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2018-01-16T21:47:23+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.lee-associates.com\/orange\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2018\/01\/4Q-2017-Orange-County-Industrial-Market-Report-1-e1516132499387.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"700\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"491\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"orangeinc\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Tenants Stressed; 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