Q2 2023 Economic Report

GDP GROWTH • EMPLOYMENT • MONETARY POLICY • GLOBAL ECONOMY


GDP GROWTH: TRENDING IN Q2 2023

The Commerce Department said the U.S. economy grew at a 2.4% annual rate in the second quarter, an increase from the 2% gain in Q1, defying both expectations and attempts by the Federal Reserve to slow it down to curb inflation.

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EMPLOYMENT: TRENDING IN Q2 2023

The unemployment rate remained virtually unchanged even as job growth eased in June with payrolls increasing by 209,000, less than expected, and down from 306,000 new positions the previous month.

Average hourly earnings grew 4.4% in June from a year earlier, well above the pre-Covid pace of growth. Through the first half of 2023, payrolls have grown an average of 278,000 a month, down from nearly 400,000 last year.

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MONETARY POLICY: TRENDING IN Q2 2023

Following the latest Federal Open Market Committee meeting June 7, Federal Reserve officials signaled they are likely to increase borrowing costs by 0.5% by the end of 2023. The Fed’s benchmark borrowing rate currently is pegged between 5%-5.25%.

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