Q3 2025 Retail Market Report

RETAIL MARKET OVERVIEW

Retail in Washington stayed fairly stagnant for Q3. Vacancy rates continued to rise. Mortgage rates dropped momentarily and then increased as a surprise to most of us and cap rates hovered right above 6%. Sales activity was slow as rumors of rate drops have been pushed out months or potentially longer. Brokers are optimistic about a strong finish to 2025 and a super active 2026. As rates drop, we feel that interest in buying will shoot up as there is a lot of money currently sitting on the sideline.

MARKET INDICATORS Q3 2025 Q2 2025 Q1 2025 Q4 2024 Q3 2024
↓ 12 Mo. Net Absorption (SF) (1,028,173) (528,138) (152,385) (829,551) (429,189)
↑ Vacancy Rate (%) 4.0% 3.8% 3.4% 3.4% 3.3%
↑  Avg NNN Asking Rent PSF $30.94 $30.09 $29.41 $29.35 $29.34
↓  Sale Price PSF $344.60 $394.51 $282.82 $164.37 $337.00
↓  Cap Rate 6.10% 6.60% 5.50% 6.70% 5.94%
↑  Under Construction (SF) 295,243 266,118 460,713 402,096 -
↓  Inventory (SF) 173,930,109 175,075,101 181,802,871 182,335,556 182,396,180