Q3 2025 Retail Market Report
RETAIL MARKET OVERVIEW
Retail in Washington stayed fairly stagnant for Q3. Vacancy rates continued to rise. Mortgage rates dropped momentarily and then increased as a surprise to most of us and cap rates hovered right above 6%. Sales activity was slow as rumors of rate drops have been pushed out months or potentially longer. Brokers are optimistic about a strong finish to 2025 and a super active 2026. As rates drop, we feel that interest in buying will shoot up as there is a lot of money currently sitting on the sideline.
| MARKET INDICATORS | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 12 Mo. Net Absorption (SF) | (1,028,173) | (528,138) | (152,385) | (829,551) | (429,189) |
| ↑ Vacancy Rate (%) | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% |
| ↑ Avg NNN Asking Rent PSF | $30.94 | $30.09 | $29.41 | $29.35 | $29.34 |
| ↓ Sale Price PSF | $344.60 | $394.51 | $282.82 | $164.37 | $337.00 |
| ↓ Cap Rate | 6.10% | 6.60% | 5.50% | 6.70% | 5.94% |
| ↑ Under Construction (SF) | 295,243 | 266,118 | 460,713 | 402,096 | - |
| ↓ Inventory (SF) | 173,930,109 | 175,075,101 | 181,802,871 | 182,335,556 | 182,396,180 |