Q4 2025 Retail Market Report

RETAIL MARKET OVERVIEW

Quarter 4 pushed more of the same narrative from the prior year. Cap rates rose slightly to average about 6.3%. On a dollar per square foot basis, prices dropped slightly for the 2nd quarter in a row. Vacancy continued to rise slightly for the 5th quarter in a row but still stayed under the national average of 4.28%. New retail construction was slow but steady. We are excited to see what 2026 brings and hope a drop in interest rates will continue to spur growth.

MARKET INDICATORS Q4 2025 Q3 2025 Q2 2025 Q1 2025 Q4 2024
↑ 12 Mo. Net Absorption (SF) (752,929) (1,028,173) (528,138) (152,385) (829,551)
↑ Vacancy Rate (%) 4.1% 4.0% 3.8% 3.4% 3.4%
↓ Avg NNN Asking Rent PSF $30.30 $30.94 $30.09 $29.41 $29.35
↓  Sale Price PSF $337.00 $344.60 $394.51 $282.82 $164.37
↑  Cap Rate 6.30% 6.10% 6.60% 5.50% 6.70%
↓  Under Construction (SF) 259,885 295,243 266,118 460,713 402,096
↑  Inventory (SF) 174,594,704 173,930,109 175,075,101 181,802,871 182,335,556