Q4 2025 Retail Market Report
RETAIL MARKET OVERVIEW
Quarter 4 pushed more of the same narrative from the prior year. Cap rates rose slightly to average about 6.3%. On a dollar per square foot basis, prices dropped slightly for the 2nd quarter in a row. Vacancy continued to rise slightly for the 5th quarter in a row but still stayed under the national average of 4.28%. New retail construction was slow but steady. We are excited to see what 2026 brings and hope a drop in interest rates will continue to spur growth.
| MARKET INDICATORS | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 12 Mo. Net Absorption (SF) | (752,929) | (1,028,173) | (528,138) | (152,385) | (829,551) |
| ↑ Vacancy Rate (%) | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% |
| ↓ Avg NNN Asking Rent PSF | $30.30 | $30.94 | $30.09 | $29.41 | $29.35 |
| ↓ Sale Price PSF | $337.00 | $344.60 | $394.51 | $282.82 | $164.37 |
| ↑ Cap Rate | 6.30% | 6.10% | 6.60% | 5.50% | 6.70% |
| ↓ Under Construction (SF) | 259,885 | 295,243 | 266,118 | 460,713 | 402,096 |
| ↑ Inventory (SF) | 174,594,704 | 173,930,109 | 175,075,101 | 181,802,871 | 182,335,556 |