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2024 Q1 North America Market Report

INDUSTRIAL OVERVIEW: POLICY AND MARKET PRESSURES SHAPE INDUSTRIAL GROWTH Interest rate hikes by central banks aiming to tame inflation and tenants battling supply-chain and other issues continue to slow industrial demand across the United States and Canada. One difference between the two neighbors, though, is consumer behavior on discretionary spending. When Canadians shut their wallets as the Bank of Canada began raising rates in 2022, the buying habits of U.S. households hardly changed. The Commerce…

2023 Q4 Economic Report

GDP GROWTH: The nation’s gross domestic product expanded at a 3.3% annual rate in the fourth quarter. The quarterly output exceeded the Wall Street consensus estimate of a 2% gain. It also capped a year in which the U.S. skirted a recession that many forecasters thought was inevitable. GDP grew at a 4.9% pace in the third quarter. The U.S. economy for all of 2023 accelerated at a 2.5% annualized pace, well ahead of forecasts…

2023 Q4 North America Market Report

INDUSTRIAL OVERVIEW: RENT GROWTH REMAINS STRONG DESPITE SPUTTERING DEMAND Demand for industrial space in North America sputtered in 2023, hobbled by a host of post-pandemic economic and supply-chain issues. Among them were declining imports, retailers caught with surplus inventories and slumping receipts for furniture, appliances and building materials from a 12-year low in home sales. Additionally, there were wide expectations for an economic recession. Net absorption totaled 164.8 million SF in the United States in…

2023 Q3 Economic Report

GDP GROWTH: The U.S. economy grew faster than expected in the third quarter and the most in nearly two years, fueled by strong consumer spending in spite of higher interest rates, inflation pressures and other domestic and global headwinds. Gross domestic product, a measure of all goods and services produced in the U.S., rose at a 4.9% annualized pace from July through September, more than double the 2.1% pace of the second quarter, the Commerce…

2023 Q3 North America Market Report

INDUSTRIAL OVERVIEW: ABSORPTION CONTINUES SLOWING, INVENTORIES TO SPIKE Demand for industrial space remained positive in the United States and Canada in the third quarter, but growth this year has lost steam compared to strong net absorption totals of the last two years. U.S. net growth in the third quarter totaled 29.9 million SF compared to 94 million SF for the same period last year.  Year-to-date net absorption is 110.2 million SF, down 62% from the…

Amazon and the State of Industrial Real Estate

Since 2013, the rise of e-commerce has caused such an enormous boom in industrial real estate that it has become the preferred asset class of many commercial real estate investors. At the heart of the e-commerce revolution has been Amazon. Even before the pandemic, the firm had around 192 million square feet of warehouse, data center, and distribution space across the U.S. and Canada. Since the pandemic, it has added over 220 million square feet…

Inflation, the Economy, and Commercial Real Estate

In June and July of this year, the Fed raised the interest rate at the fastest pace in forty years: it raised the federal funds rate 75 basis points at each open market committee meetings. Why did it do so, and what do its actions and current economic data say about the economy? This report will investigate and answer these questions, as well as explore the thinking that is guiding the Fed’s policies and explain…

2023 Q2 Economic Report

GDP GROWTH: The Commerce Department said the U.S. economy grew at a 2.4% annual rate in the second quarter, an increase from the 2% gain in Q1, defying both expectations and attempts by the Federal Reserve to slow it down to curb inflation. Economists are now scaling back their prediction that national output will be pushed into a recession this year due to recent interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve to reduce inflation. The…

2023 Q2 North America Market Report

INDUSTRIAL OVERVIEW: INDUSTRIAL GROWTH ON TRACK FOR LEAST GAIN IN YEARS In a reversal from the ballooning logistics capacities required during the pandemic, demand for space has slowed across North America.  After continuously rebuilding inventories from the fall of 2021 through Q3 last year, many retailers and wholesalers are taking a breather, pausing further inventory accumulation out of caution over the economic outlook.   In the U.S., second-quarter net absorption was down 58% year over…